Round 3, July 2017.                                                                                                     العربية




Amount of influence in the life of Syria

20 local, regional, and international organizations most influential in the life of Syria (prime actors) named and ranked the Alawites according to their influence. In the chart below, the left column ranks prime actors, from most influential (Russia) to the least influential (Relief International).

Commitment to inclusive nationalism for Syria

More prime actors assess the Alawites as "Opportunistic" than any other category. The Alawites are seen as willing to build a sovereign, stable, inclusive, and developing Syria, but only when it serves their own interests.

Syria R3 PA Alawites.jpg

Peer assessment of the Alawites' importance in the life of Syria

Round 3 statements (Nov. 2016 - July 2017):

   "Divided into poor (the majority) and rich. The Assad mafia confiscated the will of the poor. The remaining elite have no influence, but if Assad were to disappear they would be very influential." (230784)

    "They controlled the whole country for the last 5 years. After the revolution a gap formed and widened between the Alawi and the rest of the country. Assad wanted to divide and conquer." (230713)

    "They are part of the Syrian population. Some support Assad, but others are forced. They are given guarantees they will not be harmed, unless they don't support Assad. If they had assurances from Russia or the United States they might renounce Assad." (233881)

    "They are the governing elite. They have the highest ranks in the military. They are definitely a component of the population." (238631)

Round 2 statements (Nov. 2016 - July 2017):

   "They are important because they are 10% of the Syrian population, a part of the Syrian community." (221641)

   “Will always oppose the Assad regime even though they are forced to support him for his support now.” (221641)

   "They are an essential part of the Syrian population, 5 - 8%. They were used by the Assad regime. He convinced them the rest would bury them if they didn't support him." (220291)

   "They belong to the President's sect." (223911)

   "Agree" [with round 1 statements]. (214281)

Round 1 statements (Jan. 2016 - May 2016):

   "Shia are using them to take over, then will discard them." (211211)

   “Could influence by defecting." (214281)