Round 3, July 2017.                                                                                                     العربية


Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant


Amount of influence in the life of Syria

20 local, regional, and international organizations most influential in the life of Syria (prime actors) named and ranked the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant according to its influence. In the chart below, the left column ranks prime actors, from most influential (Russia) to the least influential (Relief International).

Commitment to inclusive nationalism for Syria

More prime actors assess the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant as "Saboteur" than any other category. A Saboteur is seen as working against a sovereign, stable, inclusive, and developing Syria.

Syria R3 PA ISIL.jpg

Round 3 suggestions to weaken this actor who was mostly seen as opposed:

        "Take territory back. Allow Sunni governance in some areas. Use a no fly zone to keep Assad from taking it without US permission. Maybe arm the Kurds, but it would disrupt a lot of other things. It would force Turkey to move and Iran to the table. Dealing with IS would change the picture." (239312)
         "A military campaign only feeds their propaganda. To counter them you have to build real ties to the Muslim world. Feeling connected to community and valued makes their own pitch harder to sell. It shows their arguments have no basis. Countering religious rhetoric needs to come from within the Muslim community, but everyone can not feed the us/them dichotomy." (233121)
        "As the Core is strengthened ISIL will weaken. Minimize access to the internet and money. (230784)

Peer assessment of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant's importance in the life of Syria

Round 3 statements (Nov. 2016 - July 2017):

         "Controls large amounts of territory and has the capacity to strike outside the area by inspiring people and by training. They are the largest terrorist group documented. They refuse to negotiate. It attracts the attention of the world to Syria.” (239312)

          "They traumatize the world. They are very dangerous for Syria, the region, and the world. They are a nightmare for Syrians.” (236592)

         "ISIL controls large parts of the country. It is powerful in the country. It influences actions by the United States. The United States cooperates with others they may not otherwise to defeat ISIL. Russia is the same.” (231642)

        "They have a lot of territory. They are very good at terrifying people. They like negative media coverage because it plays into their "us vs. them" strategy.” (233121)

        "They have been encircled in Raqqa and Derazor within Syria. They still control a large chunk of Syrian territory. They are the most violent group in Syria.” (233911)

       "They have the same role as the Iraqi Militias. They are the same whether they are Sunni or Shia. They must be destroyed to the roots. When Sunni and Shia come to an agreement IS will have no meaning.” (233881)

      "They were made jointly by Syria and Israel to support Assad in case of a revolution. Baghdadi is Jewish, not Muslim.” (231211)

     "They have a lot of territory, weapons, and external support.” (238631)

    "Terrorists. If the conflict continues, even if ISIL is destroyed, another will rise. That's why we need to resolve the conflict, not just fight terror.” (234281)

Round 2 statements (Aug. 2016 - Oct. 2016):

   “They force their beliefs on people, terrorizing them, hiding behind Sharia and Islamic laws, abusing religion to the maximum for its own benefit. They don't believe in government.” (221641)

   “Its role has shrunk. They have an agenda with the Syrian and Iranian people. They support both. They always wanted to fight the revolution, not the regime. They support the regime-besieged areas with aid, supplying the regime. They don't understand the religion, but kill in the name of it. They killed for more in Sunni regions. Within a few months they will be kicked out of Syria. In 10 years they will be barbeque in heaven.” (220291)

   “They control lots of territory, money, weapons. They are the enemy of the world, which makes them attractive to some. Expanding to Aleppo, Homs, Palmyra, Damascus-South. Syrian government negotiates with them, but no other armed groups.” (221951)

   "They have a huge number of fighters, huge resources including oil, and an unprecedented ability to attract fighters. (223911)