A Phase III assessment

Twenty-nine (29) existential threats to the country of Syria were identified by prime actors. In the chart below, the left column ranks the threats from the most important to solve (the Assad Regime/Civil War) to the least (chemical weapons). 

Memories of French colonialism persist as a threat of future control of Syria by France.  

25 prime actors participated in the following:

  • Determining the importance of the threat of a outside control of Syria by France relative to other threats to the country. As shown in the chart below, the threat of control of Syria by France ranked 8th most important.
Syria R3 Threat from France.jpg

In response to questions about the seriousness of the threat of the threat of control of Syria by France— 

Round 3 participants stated (Nov. 2016 - Jul. 2017):

"There are many challenges for the coming period, especially the challenge of state-building. If Syria stabilizes then falls apart again the European Union may not be interested in helping. [The US and the EU] may make things worse, like in Iraq. Iraq calmed a bit then reignited worse than before." (238631)

"It's obvious the developed countries have interests in Syria. It's about the energy sector." (233881)