THREAT:
Resource Shortage

A Phase III assessment

Twenty-nine (29) existential threats to the country of Syria were identified by prime actors. In the chart below, the left column ranks the threats from the most important to solve (the Assad Regime/Civil War) to the least (chemical weapons). 

The threat of a resource shortage (water, food, electricity, gasoline) is important because it could cause the collapse of the Syrian economy.

25 prime actors participated in the following:

• Determining the importance of the threat of a Resource Shortage relative to other threats to the country. As shown in the chart below, the threat of a Resource Shortage ranked 14th most important.

In response to questions about the seriousness of the threat of the threat of a resource shortage— 

Round 3 participants stated (Nov. 2016 - Jul. 2017):

"There are resource shortages now. They are in the middle of a self-imposed resource shortage." (239311)

"Syria is an agricultural country. We would have no shortages." (230713)

A Round 2 participants stated (Jan. 2016 - Oct. 2017):

"Most of the former farm land is like the Sahara now. Some rivers have dried up. The Harbor is a trickle. The water table in my home city has dropped over 100 feet. It put the national security in danger. The sewage, water infrastructure loss is causing people to drink from sewers. The federalization of Syria will drive the elite to choose the best resources regions. The Alawi will take the Mediterranean coast." (221641)